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Featured: Interviews for the Well-Informed
Featured: Interviews for the Well-Informed
Did you know? After the last post on this page is a link to "Older posts".Saturday, November 22, 2008
Instructables
The Instructables Web site has instructions and videos about how to make things -- such as marshmallow shooters, fake roses, a bike light from an Altoids can, various food recipes, piano keyboards, a Mr. Peanut costume, eyeball candy, trickle charged lighted bike helmet, various robots, a wallet from old bike innertubes, a pond water garden, seed starters, compost bins, hanging tomato plants, LED chandelier -- and how to do things -- like start a business, do math, have fun at Disney World without waiting in line, get six-pack abs, make friends, crush a can on your head, resurface scratched CDs.
http://www.instructables.com/
Hear more -- http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=97350140.
Friday, November 21, 2008
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Stock Market predictions
Some months back, I made a prediction to friends that the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the stock market would drop from the 14,000 range down to 7000 within one year, and then it would take 5 years for it to close above 10,000 again. I am not a professional investor. I am not giving advice. I'm just saying that based on what I heard on a variety of programs on NPR over the past 3 years, I knew long before all this started happening that we were in for a very rough ride. And now, based on what I'm hearing from the experts I hear on National Public Radio programs, I'm not expecting the economy to really "hit bottom" for another two years. That is to say, I expect things will get worse before they get better -- much worse. In fact, we are already so close to my projection of 7000 that I am considering revising the projection downward to 6000.
We must not be fooled by momentary surges like the one we had today during the last few hours of the trading day. The gains of nearly 500 on the Dow were evidently due to the exuberance caused by the announcement of President-elect Obama's choice for Treasury Secretary. There will be these momentary surges into positive territory, especially as professional traders look for any sign of hope to drive up prices and give them short term profits. But alas, all that improved today is trader confidence, not any economic fundamentals.
Yes, it is possible that President Obama may do things differently enough and bring in enough very brave and creative people that they will pull off a miracle and we'll see improvement sooner than two years. But a miracle is indeed what I think it would take, so I'm not betting on it. Things are far too messed up to expect they can be fixed in the short term.
What I did last year before things got bad was to pull out of the market almost entirely. What I'm doing now is taking advantage of higher rate savings accounts for now. Pentagon Federal Credit Union, for instance, is offering CDs at 5%; there are others out there if you look for them. I am also researching to plan -- when the time is right to re-enter the market -- which funds or securities would be right for me. But I don't expect the time to be right for at least two more years -- when I believe the market will really bottom out.
And much of my "education" comes from NPR programs I recommend to your listening:
Disclaimer: I am not a professional. I don't know anything. I don't give advice. Do your own homework. You are responsible for your decisions, not me.
We must not be fooled by momentary surges like the one we had today during the last few hours of the trading day. The gains of nearly 500 on the Dow were evidently due to the exuberance caused by the announcement of President-elect Obama's choice for Treasury Secretary. There will be these momentary surges into positive territory, especially as professional traders look for any sign of hope to drive up prices and give them short term profits. But alas, all that improved today is trader confidence, not any economic fundamentals.
Yes, it is possible that President Obama may do things differently enough and bring in enough very brave and creative people that they will pull off a miracle and we'll see improvement sooner than two years. But a miracle is indeed what I think it would take, so I'm not betting on it. Things are far too messed up to expect they can be fixed in the short term.
What I did last year before things got bad was to pull out of the market almost entirely. What I'm doing now is taking advantage of higher rate savings accounts for now. Pentagon Federal Credit Union, for instance, is offering CDs at 5%; there are others out there if you look for them. I am also researching to plan -- when the time is right to re-enter the market -- which funds or securities would be right for me. But I don't expect the time to be right for at least two more years -- when I believe the market will really bottom out.
And much of my "education" comes from NPR programs I recommend to your listening:
- http://www.onpointradio.org/tag/economy/
- http://wamu.org/programs/dr/08/11/13.php
- http://marketplace.publicradio.org/
Disclaimer: I am not a professional. I don't know anything. I don't give advice. Do your own homework. You are responsible for your decisions, not me.
Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal (SMBC)
Strange but funny comics. They are much funnier when I realized I needed to scroll down to see the text below the main frame... ;-)
http://www.smbc-comics.com/?id=698#comic
Is Bill Ayers an unrepentent terrorist?
John McCain and Sarah Palin made Bill Ayers famous again for a new generation by making him the bogeyman of Barack Obama's campaign. So we might as well know who he really is, what he did, why he did it, and what he says and does now. Hear this interview with him on NPR's Fresh Air -- http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=97112600.
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Hear what the rest of the world thinks of us.
Want to see how the rest of the world sees us and our role in Iraq? See this discussion of a British panel and audience telling off John Bolton and making his defense of our role in Iraq look ridiculous. http://www.truveo.com/John-Bolton-Grilled-On-BBC/id/972207001
Monday, November 17, 2008
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